This weekly podcast from the team at Walker Crips Investment Management provides an in depth commentary on the macro economic factors driving global markets, whilst also focusing on individual stocks that are making headlines.This podcast is intended to be Walker Crips Investment Management’s own commentary on markets. It is not investment research and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation to buy, sell or trade in any of the investments, sectors or asset classes mentioned. The value of any investment and the income arising from it is not guaranteed and can fall as well as rise, so that you may not get back the amount you originally invested. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Movements in exchange rates can have an adverse effect on the value, price or income of any non-sterling denominated investment. Nothing in this podcast constitutes advice to undertake a transaction, and if you require professional advice you should contact your financial adviser or your usual contact at Walker Crips. Walker Crips Investment Management Limited is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority and is a member of the London Stock Exchange. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
As per a City A.M. poll last week, economists project Bank of England (“BoE”) interest rate cuts between May and August next year, contrasting with market expectations of a move from March. BoE policymakers remain cautious about high wage growth and persistent inflation concerns and view the ongoing Gaza conflict as a significant risk to inflation targets. The potential for an earlier rate cut hinges on economic slowing, influenced by the impact of prior rate tightening....Stocks featured:Sage Group, Cranswick and DiplomaTo find out more about the investment management services offered by Walker Crips, please visit our website:https://www.walkercrips.co.uk/This podcast is intended to be Walker Crips Investment Management’s own commentary on markets. It is not investment research and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation to buy, sell or trade in any of the investments, sectors or asset classes mentioned. The value of any investment and the income arising from it is not guaranteed and can fall as well as rise, so that you may not get back the amount you originally invested. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Movements in exchange rates can have an adverse effect on the value, price or income of any non-sterling denominated investment. Nothing in this podcast constitutes advice to undertake a transaction, and if you require professional advice you should contact your financial adviser or your usual contact at Walker Crips. Walker Crips Investment Management Limited is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority and is a member of the London Stock Exchange. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Last week saw the UK October inflation figures witness a significant drop, with the headline Consumer Price Index (“CPI”) standing at 4.6% year-on-year, below the consensus expectations of 4.8% and a substantial decrease fromthe prior month's 6.7%. Core inflation also moderated to 5.7% versus a consensus estimate of 5.8% and September’s 6.1% reading. The breakdown from the Office for National Statistics (“ONS”) attributed this decline primarily to housing and household services, where the annual rate for CPI was at its lowest level since records began in 1950. The Bank of England (“BOE”) has also been closely monitoring service prices and noted a decrease to 6.6% from 6.9% last month. This, combined with softer labour market data, reinforces expectations that the BOE's rate cycle has peaked, with the possibility of an interest rate cut coming as early as next May. However, The Times reported that money markets have been pricing in rate cuts from as early as March after the slowdown in inflation. BOE policymakers continue to signal caution over rate cut bets, maintaining the narrative that rates will remain higher for longer....Stocks featured:Experian, Ocado Group and HalmaTo find out more about the investment management services offered by Walker Crips, please visit our website:https://www.walkercrips.co.uk/This podcast is intended to be Walker Crips Investment Management’s own commentary on markets. It is not investment research and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation to buy, sell or trade in any of the investments, sectors or asset classes mentioned. The value of any investment and the income arising from it is not guaranteed and can fall as well as rise, so that you may not get back the amount you originally invested. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Movements in exchange rates can have an adverse effect on the value, price or income of any non-sterling denominated investment. Nothing in this podcast constitutes advice to undertake a transaction, and if you require professional advice you should contact your financial adviser or your usual contact at Walker Crips. Walker Crips Investment Management Limited is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority and is a member of the London Stock Exchange. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Last week, Bloomberg Economics conducted an analysis revealing that the latest forecasts are indicative of turbulent times ahead for the UK economy, with key indicators suggesting that the country may already be in the midst of a recession. After a period of aggressive monetary tightening and rising unemployment, households are becoming more cautious about spending, posing a significant challenge for Prime Minister Rishi Sunak, who faces an upcoming election. The Autumn Budget statement on 22 November is under scrutiny, with scepticism from think tanks about the fiscal headroom for tax cuts. While Bank of England (“BoE”) Governor Andrew Bailey insists it is premature to discuss interest rate cuts, Chief Economist Huw Pill acknowledges investors are not being unreasonable in their prediction for rate cuts next summer. Traders are now anticipating interest rate decreases in the region of 0.75% next year, reflecting a notable shift from just 0.3% last month. The contrasting views within the BoE highlight the complexity of navigating economic uncertainties, especially with the threat of inflation and geopolitical tensions....Stocks featured:Marks & Spencer, Associated British Foods and Auto TraderTo find out more about the investment management services offered by Walker Crips, please visit our website:https://www.walkercrips.co.uk/This podcast is intended to be Walker Crips Investment Management’s own commentary on markets. It is not investment research and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation to buy, sell or trade in any of the investments, sectors or asset classes mentioned. The value of any investment and the income arising from it is not guaranteed and can fall as well as rise, so that you may not get back the amount you originally invested. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Movements in exchange rates can have an adverse effect on the value, price or income of any non-sterling denominated investment. Nothing in this podcast constitutes advice to undertake a transaction, and if you require professional advice you should contact your financial adviser or your usual contact at Walker Crips. Walker Crips Investment Management Limited is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority and is a member of the London Stock Exchange. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Last week saw the Bank of England (“BoE”) decide to keep interest rates steady at 5.25% for the second consecutive meeting, in line with expectations. The BoE's assessment notes that while there have been no significant changes in inflation since September, underlying inflation remains elevated, and the potential for secondary inflation effects to unwind is prolonged. The BoE also highlighted the risk of rising inflation due to Middle East events, despite the current mean projection for inflation to be at 2.2% in two years’ time and 1.9% in three years’ time. The gross domestic product growth forecast for the third quarter of 2023 is now expected to be flat, falling below previous estimates from August of 0.1% growth. The central bank also signalled a 50% chance of a recession by mid-2024. The BoE's forecasts are based on expectations of maintaining the 5.25% base rate until the third quarter 2024. Despite the BoE's recent hawkish stance, market sentiment remains slightly more dovish, with a 25% probability of one more interest rate rise by February 2024 and focus shifting to the timing of the first rate cut. The central bank may have to consider reducing the bank rate faster next year as the economy slows...Stocks featured:Ocado Group, BP and NextTo find out more about the investment management services offered by Walker Crips, please visit our website:https://www.walkercrips.co.uk/This podcast is intended to be Walker Crips Investment Management’s own commentary on markets. It is not investment research and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation to buy, sell or trade in any of the investments, sectors or asset classes mentioned. The value of any investment and the income arising from it is not guaranteed and can fall as well as rise, so that you may not get back the amount you originally invested. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Movements in exchange rates can have an adverse effect on the value, price or income of any non-sterling denominated investment. Nothing in this podcast constitutes advice to undertake a transaction, and if you require professional advice you should contact your financial adviser or your usual contact at Walker Crips. Walker Crips Investment Management Limited is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority and is a member of the London Stock Exchange. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
The UK's economic landscape experienced several developments last week. Borrowing costs surged to their highest point in 25 years as the 30-year UK gilt yield reached 5.209%. This increase mirrored global trends as investors worldwide anticipate interest rates will remain at elevated levels for a longer period than first expected. Despite this, a Reuters survey of economists indicated that the Bank of England's rate cycle might have peaked, with expectations of rates remaining on hold until the second quarter of 2024. Inflation risks were acknowledged, though the labour market seemed to stabilise. The majority foresaw the first rate cut, if needed, occurring no earlier than July, with a 0.25% reduction. In parallel, the UK labour market displayed challenges, with the benefit claimant count showing a substantial rise by 20,400, exceeding consensus estimates of a 2,300 increase. Notably, uncertainty around the Labour Force Survey prompted the introduction of a new data series for the unemployment rate by the Office for National Statistics, revealing a 4.2% unemployment rate, up by 0.2% from the previous quarter. Payrolled employment saw a decline and average weekly earnings eased....Stocks featured:Natwest Group, Barclays Initial and International Consolidated Airlines GroupTo find out more about the investment management services offered by Walker Crips, please visit our website:https://www.walkercrips.co.uk/This podcast is intended to be Walker Crips Investment Management’s own commentary on markets. It is not investment research and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation to buy, sell or trade in any of the investments, sectors or asset classes mentioned. The value of any investment and the income arising from it is not guaranteed and can fall as well as rise, so that you may not get back the amount you originally invested. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Movements in exchange rates can have an adverse effect on the value, price or income of any non-sterling denominated investment. Nothing in this podcast constitutes advice to undertake a transaction, and if you require professional advice you should contact your financial adviser or your usual contact at Walker Crips. Walker Crips Investment Management Limited is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority and is a member of the London Stock Exchange. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
September brought an unexpected twist to the UK inflation narrative, with a surprising increase to 6.7% year-on-year, slightly surpassing consensus expectations of 6.6%. The service sector, which saw increasing prices, was noted as the primary driver. While this may encourage a more hawkish stance within the Bank of England (“BoE”), wage growth indicated signs of slowing, suggesting a potential easing in price pressures by the end of the year. The UK labour market also displayed signs of easing, with a decrease in payrolled employees and vacancies. The Times cited BoE Deputy Governor, Jon Cunliffe, who anticipates that interest rates will persist at higher levels for the foreseeable future. He noted mixed economic signals, with some indicators slowing, while others suggest that the labour market is beginning to cool. He acknowledged that the economy displayed more resilience in 2022 than previously thought...Stocks featured:Bellway, Rentokil Initial and SegroTo find out more about the investment management services offered by Walker Crips, please visit our website:https://www.walkercrips.co.uk/This podcast is intended to be Walker Crips Investment Management’s own commentary on markets. It is not investment research and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation to buy, sell or trade in any of the investments, sectors or asset classes mentioned. The value of any investment and the income arising from it is not guaranteed and can fall as well as rise, so that you may not get back the amount you originally invested. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Movements in exchange rates can have an adverse effect on the value, price or income of any non-sterling denominated investment. Nothing in this podcast constitutes advice to undertake a transaction, and if you require professional advice you should contact your financial adviser or your usual contact at Walker Crips. Walker Crips Investment Management Limited is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority and is a member of the London Stock Exchange. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
The International Monetary Fund (“IMF”) released its World Economic Outlook last week, which provided a comprehensive perspective on the global economy. While the outlook has shown some balancing since earlier this year, downside risks persist. The report highlighted the limited room for policy errors and delved into the consequences of tightening policies on both inflation and economic activity. The IMF's updated gross domestic product growth forecasts for 2023 and 2024 include a weaker growth outlook for the UK compared to its G7 peers in 2024. It is also noteworthy that core inflation is expected to decline gradually, with many economies not returning to target inflation until 2025. This suggests that monetary policy must remain consistent to effectively tackle inflation, while fiscal consolidation is essential to address rising debt.Stocks featured:EasyJet, YouGov and Ashmore GroupTo find out more about the investment management services offered by Walker Crips, please visit our website:https://www.walkercrips.co.uk/This podcast is intended to be Walker Crips Investment Management’s own commentary on markets. It is not investment research and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation to buy, sell or trade in any of the investments, sectors or asset classes mentioned. The value of any investment and the income arising from it is not guaranteed and can fall as well as rise, so that you may not get back the amount you originally invested. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Movements in exchange rates can have an adverse effect on the value, price or income of any non-sterling denominated investment. Nothing in this podcast constitutes advice to undertake a transaction, and if you require professional advice you should contact your financial adviser or your usual contact at Walker Crips. Walker Crips Investment Management Limited is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority and is a member of the London Stock Exchange. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Rishi Sunak's Conservative Party conference speech last week marked the beginning of his election campaign. He outlined a bold agenda, including tax cuts, education reform and a substantial £36 billion investment in northern and midlands transport infrastructure. This investment came as a result of the decision to cancel the northern leg of the HS2 railway project, which stirred mixed reactions and represented a significant shift in political consensus. Sunak also emphasised the Conservative Party's commitment to bold change, introducing a new qualification, the "Advanced British Standard," and promising tax cuts while highlighting the need to control inflation. Additionally, he proposed a phased increase in the legal smoking age....Stocks featured:Aviva, Pennon Group and TescoTo find out more about the investment management services offered by Walker Crips, please visit our website:https://www.walkercrips.co.uk/This podcast is intended to be Walker Crips Investment Management’s own commentary on markets. It is not investment research and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation to buy, sell or trade in any of the investments, sectors or asset classes mentioned. The value of any investment and the income arising from it is not guaranteed and can fall as well as rise, so that you may not get back the amount you originally invested. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Movements in exchange rates can have an adverse effect on the value, price or income of any non-sterling denominated investment. Nothing in this podcast constitutes advice to undertake a transaction, and if you require professional advice you should contact your financial adviser or your usual contact at Walker Crips. Walker Crips Investment Management Limited is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority and is a member of the London Stock Exchange. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Last week saw mixed signals for the UK economy as the job market displayed signs of cooling. According to an update from the Recruitment and Employment Confederation (“REC”), job postings rose by 13.5% in the week ending 17th September but remained below earlier-year averages, with 175,000 new job adverts posted, down from over 200,000 on average earlier in the year. The REC Chief Executive, Neil Carberry, noted that recruitersacross the country have reported a market normalisation as job postings fell from pandemic highs. This cooling labour market was highlighted by the Bank of England (“BoE”) as one of the factors influencing its decision to keep interest rates on hold. Despite these concerns, the UK's economic performance since the onset of the Covid-19 pandemic has been stronger than previously thought. Data from the Office for National Statistics revealed that the UK's recovery has outpaced that of Germany and France, signalling a faster post-pandemic rebound. This unexpected resilience in the economy has raised questions about the accuracy of official economic forecasts. The Institute for Fiscal Studies cautioned that excessive government borrowing, driven by costly policies introduced by recent chancellors, has undermined faith in these forecasts....Stocks featured:Future, Card Factory and Learning Technologies GroupTo find out more about the investment management services offered by Walker Crips, please visit our website:https://www.walkercrips.co.uk/This podcast is intended to be Walker Crips Investment Management’s own commentary on markets. It is not investment research and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation to buy, sell or trade in any of the investments, sectors or asset classes mentioned. The value of any investment and the income arising from it is not guaranteed and can fall as well as rise, so that you may not get back the amount you originally invested. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Movements in exchange rates can have an adverse effect on the value, price or income of any non-sterling denominated investment. Nothing in this podcast constitutes advice to undertake a transaction, and if you require professional advice you should contact your financial adviser or your usual contact at Walker Crips. Walker Crips Investment Management Limited is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority and is a member of the London Stock Exchange. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Last week saw inflation and interest rates take centre stage as the latest figures were released. Forecasts at the beginning of the week showed that August inflation was expected to accelerate to 7% from a prior reading of 6.8% in July, with economists attributing the acceleration to rising fuel prices. However, August inflation came in weaker than expected at 6.7% alongside a much softer core inflation figure of 6.2%, compared to a consensusforecast of 6.8%. The Office for National Statistics (“ONS”) said that the largest downward contribution came from food prices and accommodation services, which offset fuel price increases. This inflation reading led to a shift in momentum from consensus expectations for an interest rate hike, as markets priced in less than a 50% probability of a 0.25% rate rise compared to previous forecasts which anticipated there would be a quarter percent increase....Stocks featured:JD Sports Fashion, Dunelm Group and HalmaTo find out more about the investment management services offered by Walker Crips, please visit our website:https://www.walkercrips.co.uk/This podcast is intended to be Walker Crips Investment Management’s own commentary on markets. It is not investment research and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation to buy, sell or trade in any of the investments, sectors or asset classes mentioned. The value of any investment and the income arising from it is not guaranteed and can fall as well as rise, so that you may not get back the amount you originally invested. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Movements in exchange rates can have an adverse effect on the value, price or income of any non-sterling denominated investment. Nothing in this podcast constitutes advice to undertake a transaction, and if you require professional advice you should contact your financial adviser or your usual contact at Walker Crips. Walker Crips Investment Management Limited is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority and is a member of the London Stock Exchange. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Last week saw UK equity markets in positive territory as the FTSE 100 closed the week 2.1% higher as markets continue to anticipate that the Bank of England (“BoE”) is approaching the end of its rate tightening cycle. An article published by Bloomberg discussed recent rhetoric from BoE policymakers and noticed that there is a change in tone alongside more clarity on the debate facing the Monetary Policy Committee as it nears the end of the cycle. It was noted that the change in tone may be a sign of the BoE laying the foundations for a pause in interest rate hikes. However, the BoE may find it difficult to justify a pause at this week’s upcoming meeting, due to accelerating wage growth as a result of one-off bonuses and basic pay increases stuck at high levels. This demonstrates the continued resilience within the UK labour market, although unemployment figures are showing gradual signs of increasing as a result of the slowing economy. The latest figures published last week show the UK unemployment rate was 4.3% during the period May to July 2023, compared to 4.2% in the previous quarter...Stocks featured:Renishaw, Kier Group and Associated British FoodsTo find out more about the investment management services offered by Walker Crips, please visit our website:https://www.walkercrips.co.uk/This podcast is intended to be Walker Crips Investment Management’s own commentary on markets. It is not investment research and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation to buy, sell or trade in any of the investments, sectors or asset classes mentioned. The value of any investment and the income arising from it is not guaranteed and can fall as well as rise, so that you may not get back the amount you originally invested. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Movements in exchange rates can have an adverse effect on the value, price or income of any non-sterling denominated investment. Nothing in this podcast constitutes advice to undertake a transaction, and if you require professional advice you should contact your financial adviser or your usual contact at Walker Crips. Walker Crips Investment Management Limited is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority and is a member of the London Stock Exchange. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
The British Chamber of Commerce (“BCC”) published updated economic outlook figures last week which highlighted an expectation that the UK economy will avoid a technical recession. However, growth is set to remain weak. Figures state that the UK is expected to have a growth rate of 0.4% for the whole of 2023, dropping to 0.3% in 2024 and rising to 0.7% in 2025. The BCC also revised inflation figures upwards for 2024 to 3% against a previous forecast of 1.5%. This shows that the BCC expects inflation to remain higher for longer, largely as a result of a resilient labour market. The report suggests that although the UK economy will avoid a recession, it will likely feel like one for a lot of households and businesses due to the low growth levels within the economy....Stocks featured:Hilton Food Group, Gamma Communications and Ashtead GroupTo find out more about the investment management services offered by Walker Crips, please visit our website:https://www.walkercrips.co.uk/This podcast is intended to be Walker Crips Investment Management’s own commentary on markets. It is not investment research and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation to buy, sell or trade in any of the investments, sectors or asset classes mentioned. The value of any investment and the income arising from it is not guaranteed and can fall as well as rise, so that you may not get back the amount you originally invested. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Movements in exchange rates can have an adverse effect on the value, price or income of any non-sterling denominated investment. Nothing in this podcast constitutes advice to undertake a transaction, and if you require professional advice you should contact your financial adviser or your usual contact at Walker Crips. Walker Crips Investment Management Limited is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority and is a member of the London Stock Exchange. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Last week saw the FTSE 100 rise 1.6% amid hopes that global economies are nearing the end of the monetary tightening cycle. Growth within the UK equity market has been relatively flat since the start of 2023, with the FTSE 100 increasing by approximately 0.5% over the year to date. Persistent high inflation and aggressive monetary tightening by the Bank of England (“BoE”) have been the main factors leading to minimal growth for UK equities. On a valuation basis, the FTSE 100 is trading on a price to earnings ratio of approximately 10.5x, which is at the lower end of statistics over the past two decades, indicating that current UK equity prices could be considered as cheap. This is of no real surprise given the consistent negative sentiment surrounding the outlook for global economies....Stocks featured:Johnson Matthey, Grafton Group and BunzlTo find out more about the investment management services offered by Walker Crips, please visit our website:https://www.walkercrips.co.uk/This podcast is intended to be Walker Crips Investment Management’s own commentary on markets. It is not investment research and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation to buy, sell or trade in any of the investments, sectors or asset classes mentioned. The value of any investment and the income arising from it is not guaranteed and can fall as well as rise, so that you may not get back the amount you originally invested. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Movements in exchange rates can have an adverse effect on the value, price or income of any non-sterling denominated investment. Nothing in this podcast constitutes advice to undertake a transaction, and if you require professional advice you should contact your financial adviser or your usual contact at Walker Crips. Walker Crips Investment Management Limited is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority and is a member of the London Stock Exchange. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
The UK market experienced a relatively quiet week last week as the FTSE 100 closed approximately 1% higher at 7,339. Inflation and interest rates continue to be the main influencing factors at present with the market continuing to forecast UK interest rates peaking at 6%. The Times reported on the most recent Office for National Statistics (“ONS”) inflation data published last week which suggested that inflation may be easing quicker than initially expected. The ONS calculations showed that core inflation fell to 6.8% in July from 6.9% in June and from a peak of 7.3% in May, compared with original data for July showing that core inflation had held steady at 6.9%. This update is a welcome development; however, services inflation is at multi-decade highs of 7.4% and wages continue to be at record levels, meaning that the updated ONS figures are unlikely to shift near term market or Bank of England (“BOE”) expectations. A Reuters poll of economists also showed that 61 of the 62 economists surveyed expect a 0.25% rate hike in September with a narrow majority thinking that this will be the end of the rate tightening cycle. Out of the 62 economists surveyed, 27 still said that rates could peak at 5.75% and two said 6%, with underlying inflation remaining too high and elevated wage growth continuing to be the most challenging aspect of BOE policy making...Stocks featured:BAE Systems, CRH and JD Sports FashionTo find out more about the investment management services offered by Walker Crips, please visit our website:https://www.walkercrips.co.uk/This podcast is intended to be Walker Crips Investment Management’s own commentary on markets. It is not investment research and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation to buy, sell or trade in any of the investments, sectors or asset classes mentioned. The value of any investment and the income arising from it is not guaranteed and can fall as well as rise, so that you may not get back the amount you originally invested. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Movements in exchange rates can have an adverse effect on the value, price or income of any non-sterling denominated investment. Nothing in this podcast constitutes advice to undertake a transaction, and if you require professional advice you should contact your financial adviser or your usual contact at Walker Crips. Walker Crips Investment Management Limited is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority and is a member of the London Stock Exchange. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
BAE Systems, the defence, aerospace and security company, announced it has agreed to purchase Ball Corporation’s aerospace business for approximately $5.55 billion in cash. The company said that it entered into a definitive agreement to purchase the unit, which manufactures instruments and sensors for everything from space travel to weather forecasting. The acquisition is expected to add to BAE’s earnings per share and margins in the first year following completion. The unit is also expected to generate approximately $2.2 billion in revenue this year. BAE shares dropped by approximately 5.2% last week as a result of the news with investors viewing the deal as expensive....Stocks featured:BAE Systems, Admiral Group and Balfour BeattyTo find out more about the investment management services offered by Walker Crips, please visit our website:https://www.walkercrips.co.uk/This podcast is intended to be Walker Crips Investment Management’s own commentary on markets. It is not investment research and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation to buy, sell or trade in any of the investments, sectors or asset classes mentioned. The value of any investment and the income arising from it is not guaranteed and can fall as well as rise, so that you may not get back the amount you originally invested. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Movements in exchange rates can have an adverse effect on the value, price or income of any non-sterling denominated investment. Nothing in this podcast constitutes advice to undertake a transaction, and if you require professional advice you should contact your financial adviser or your usual contact at Walker Crips. Walker Crips Investment Management Limited is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority and is a member of the London Stock Exchange. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Bank of England (“BoE”) chief economist, Huw Pill, said last week that UK inflation remains too high and too persistent, especially as food prices may not decline in the short term. Pill stated that food price inflation may decline to 10% this year, but actual disinflation in food prices may not occur for some time after this. The BoE now forecasts that inflation will decline to 5% by the end of this year, but will not drop to the 2% target until the second quarter of 2025. Pill commented that higher and persistent inflation in the UK is mostly to do with higher imported goods prices and stressed that much of the monetary policy tightening has yet to impact the economy. However, there are signs that recent rate rises are working through the economy as inflation is falling and the labour market is cooling. The BoE remains committed to monitoring economic data and will continue with monetary tightening until it sees a further slowdown in inflation, but there is increasing optimism that we may be approaching the pivot point after fourteen consecutive rate rises...Stocks featured:Abrdn, Savills and TI Fluid SystemsTo find out more about the investment management services offered by Walker Crips, please visit our website:https://www.walkercrips.co.uk/This podcast is intended to be Walker Crips Investment Management’s own commentary on markets. It is not investment research and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation to buy, sell or trade in any of the investments, sectors or asset classes mentioned. The value of any investment and the income arising from it is not guaranteed and can fall as well as rise, so that you may not get back the amount you originally invested. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Movements in exchange rates can have an adverse effect on the value, price or income of any non-sterling denominated investment. Nothing in this podcast constitutes advice to undertake a transaction, and if you require professional advice you should contact your financial adviser or your usual contact at Walker Crips. Walker Crips Investment Management Limited is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority and is a member of the London Stock Exchange. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
BAE Systems, a defence, aerospace, and security company, saw its share price increase by approximately 8.7% last week after announcing first half results which beat market expectations. The company also raised its guidance for full year sales, underlying Earnings Before Interest and Taxes (EBIT), Earnings Per Share (EPS) and free cash flow. The dividend also increased by 11% when compared to last year alongside an approved further share buyback program of up to £1.5 billion. This program is expected to roll-on after completion of the current buyback program and conclude within three years of its commencement... Stocks featured:BAE Systems, ConvaTec Group Plc and Greggs Plc To find out more about the investment management services offered by Walker Crips, please visit our website:https://www.walkercrips.co.uk/This podcast is intended to be Walker Crips Investment Management’s own commentary on markets. It is not investment research and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation to buy, sell or trade in any of the investments, sectors or asset classes mentioned. The value of any investment and the income arising from it is not guaranteed and can fall as well as rise, so that you may not get back the amount you originally invested. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Movements in exchange rates can have an adverse effect on the value, price or income of any non-sterling denominated investment. Nothing in this podcast constitutes advice to undertake a transaction, and if you require professional advice you should contact your financial adviser or your usual contact at Walker Crips. Walker Crips Investment Management Limited is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority and is a member of the London Stock Exchange. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Ocado Plc, the UK based technology-led software and robotics platform, features again in this week's market commentary as its share price surged approximately 42.1% last week. The company has received a wave of positive news recently including rumours of a potential bid from Amazon, better than expected earnings and a positive settlement hearing which have all contributed to the strong share price performance. The £200 million settlement appears to have reassured investors and prospective partners of the continued unique access to Ocado’s technology and patent protection... Stocks featured:Ocado Plc, Croda International Plc and Centrica Plc To find out more about the investment management services offered by Walker Crips, please visit our website:https://www.walkercrips.co.uk/This podcast is intended to be Walker Crips Investment Management’s own commentary on markets. It is not investment research and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation to buy, sell or trade in any of the investments, sectors or asset classes mentioned. The value of any investment and the income arising from it is not guaranteed and can fall as well as rise, so that you may not get back the amount you originally invested. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Movements in exchange rates can have an adverse effect on the value, price or income of any non-sterling denominated investment. Nothing in this podcast constitutes advice to undertake a transaction, and if you require professional advice you should contact your financial adviser or your usual contact at Walker Crips. Walker Crips Investment Management Limited is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority and is a member of the London Stock Exchange. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Ocado Group, the UK based technology-led software and robotics platform business, saw its share price soar by approximately 15% after announcing first half earnings. One of the main positive takeaways from the results was that Ocado has been delivering on its promise of reducing its cash burn. The company also announced that group revenue grew by 9% year on year, with its Technology Solutions division seeing revenue increase by 59% year on year. Investors viewed this announcement positively and believe that the company is well positioned to deliver on its long-term objectives...Stocks featured:Ocado Group, Wise and PersimmonTo find out more about the investment management services offered by Walker Crips, please visit our website:https://www.walkercrips.co.uk/This podcast is intended to be Walker Crips Investment Management’s own commentary on markets. It is not investment research and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation to buy, sell or trade in any of the investments, sectors or asset classes mentioned. The value of any investment and the income arising from it is not guaranteed and can fall as well as rise, so that you may not get back the amount you originally invested. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Movements in exchange rates can have an adverse effect on the value, price or income of any non-sterling denominated investment. Nothing in this podcast constitutes advice to undertake a transaction, and if you require professional advice you should contact your financial adviser or your usual contact at Walker Crips. Walker Crips Investment Management Limited is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority and is a member of the London Stock Exchange. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Last week saw the shares of JD Wetherspoon, the owner and operator of pubs throughout the UK and Ireland, increase by approximately 8.7% after announcing a trading update. The update demonstrated that trading was in line with market expectations and in the last 10 weeks like-for-like sales were 11% higher than 2019 levels. The company also announced a small improvement in expected utility costs, resulting in a one-off uplift to the company’s estimates for 2024...Stocks featured:JD Wetherspoon, Experian and Ashmore GroupTo find out more about the investment management services offered by Walker Crips, please visit our website:https://www.walkercrips.co.uk/This podcast is intended to be Walker Crips Investment Management’s own commentary on markets. It is not investment research and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation to buy, sell or trade in any of the investments, sectors or asset classes mentioned. The value of any investment and the income arising from it is not guaranteed and can fall as well as rise, so that you may not get back the amount you originally invested. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Movements in exchange rates can have an adverse effect on the value, price or income of any non-sterling denominated investment. Nothing in this podcast constitutes advice to undertake a transaction, and if you require professional advice you should contact your financial adviser or your usual contact at Walker Crips. Walker Crips Investment Management Limited is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority and is a member of the London Stock Exchange. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
The UK’s FTSE 100 saw a decline of approximately 3.4% last week. The index closed Monday’s sessions at 7,274 as sticky inflation and rising interest rates continue to be an area for concern. Bank of England (“BoE”) Governor, Andrew Bailey, stated in an interview with the BBC his continued commitment to bringing inflation down. Bailey did not provide a timeframe for when rates might peak or begin to decrease as inflation continues to remain too high. This led to market expectations continuing to rise with markets now anticipating rates to reach 6.5% by March 2024. Last week also saw research published by JP Morgan highlighting that the BoE may need to hike rates to 7% in a worst-case scenario. However, their expectation is that rates will peak at 5.75% in November this year....Stocks featured:AstraZeneca, Currys and Jet2To find out more about the investment management services offered by Walker Crips, please visit our website:https://www.walkercrips.co.uk/This podcast is intended to be Walker Crips Investment Management’s own commentary on markets. It is not investment research and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation to buy, sell or trade in any of the investments, sectors or asset classes mentioned. The value of any investment and the income arising from it is not guaranteed and can fall as well as rise, so that you may not get back the amount you originally invested. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Movements in exchange rates can have an adverse effect on the value, price or income of any non-sterling denominated investment. Nothing in this podcast constitutes advice to undertake a transaction, and if you require professional advice you should contact your financial adviser or your usual contact at Walker Crips. Walker Crips Investment Management Limited is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority and is a member of the London Stock Exchange. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Sage Group, the cloud-based business management solution company, saw JP Morgan analysts upgrade the stock to overweight from neutral. This resulted in its share price increasing by approximately 6% last week. The company is expected to deliver sustainable double-digit organic revenue growth until 2025. JP Morgan believes there is room for further revenue growth between 2026 and 2030 with the company having a strong track record and a high free cash flow conversion...Stocks featured:Sage Group, Aston Martin and Serco GroupTo find out more about the investment management services offered by Walker Crips, please visit our website:https://www.walkercrips.co.uk/This podcast is intended to be Walker Crips Investment Management’s own commentary on markets. It is not investment research and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation to buy, sell or trade in any of the investments, sectors or asset classes mentioned. The value of any investment and the income arising from it is not guaranteed and can fall as well as rise, so that you may not get back the amount you originally invested. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Movements in exchange rates can have an adverse effect on the value, price or income of any non-sterling denominated investment. Nothing in this podcast constitutes advice to undertake a transaction, and if you require professional advice you should contact your financial adviser or your usual contact at Walker Crips. Walker Crips Investment Management Limited is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority and is a member of the London Stock Exchange. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
The beginning of last week saw investors and some sell-side economists speculating that market estimates for the Bank of England (“BoE”) rate outlook may have been too aggressive. At the start of the week, markets were pricing a peak rate close to 5.75% based on forecasts for inflation figures on Wednesday to decelerate to 8.4% from 8.7% in May. However, when Wednesday arrived, inflation figures unexpectedly rose to 8.7%. Inflation has now registered 22 months above the 2% target with expectations for any meaningful slowdown in inflation unlikely to arrive before July. This led gilts to come under pressure as the yield on two-year gilts increased by approximately 0.2%, firmly above 5%. The ten-year benchmark was more than 0.1% higher, just short of 4.5%, close to its highest levels since last October. This has resulted in the spread between two-year and ten-year gilts to be the most inverted it has been since 2000. Markets therefore anticipated an increased likelihood of more aggressive rate tightening, increasing the risk of a recession...Stocks featured:Anglo American, Ocado and PersimmonTo find out more about the investment management services offered by Walker Crips, please visit our website:https://www.walkercrips.co.uk/This podcast is intended to be Walker Crips Investment Management’s own commentary on markets. It is not investment research and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation to buy, sell or trade in any of the investments, sectors or asset classes mentioned. The value of any investment and the income arising from it is not guaranteed and can fall as well as rise, so that you may not get back the amount you originally invested. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Movements in exchange rates can have an adverse effect on the value, price or income of any non-sterling denominated investment. Nothing in this podcast constitutes advice to undertake a transaction, and if you require professional advice you should contact your financial adviser or your usual contact at Walker Crips. Walker Crips Investment Management Limited is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority and is a member of the London Stock Exchange. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Smith & Nephew, the British multinational medical equipment manufacturer, saw its share price increase by approximately 5% last week. The increase in share price was triggered as a result of Smith & Nephew receiving Food and Drug Administration ("FDA") clearance for its AETOS Shoulder System. This is the latest solution in Smith & Nephew’s expanding Upper Extremity portfolio and is designed to maximise stability, preserve bone and maintain patient anatomy. The company also noted that total shoulder arthroplasty is one of the fastest growing segments in Orthopaedics with an estimated 250,000 procedures in the US by 2025...Stocks featured:Smith & Nephew, Glencore and 888 HoldingsTo find out more about the investment management services offered by Walker Crips, please visit our website:https://www.walkercrips.co.uk/This podcast is intended to be Walker Crips Investment Management’s own commentary on markets. It is not investment research and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation to buy, sell or trade in any of the investments, sectors or asset classes mentioned. The value of any investment and the income arising from it is not guaranteed and can fall as well as rise, so that you may not get back the amount you originally invested. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Movements in exchange rates can have an adverse effect on the value, price or income of any non-sterling denominated investment. Nothing in this podcast constitutes advice to undertake a transaction, and if you require professional advice you should contact your financial adviser or your usual contact at Walker Crips. Walker Crips Investment Management Limited is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority and is a member of the London Stock Exchange. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
The UK housing market was one of the key areas of focus this week as UK Halifax house price data was announced. The data showed a flat reading in May, but on an annual basis prices fell 1% versus consensus for a 0.9% drop. This was the first annual decline in prices since December 2012. Halifax did highlight that given the flat monthly reading, the annual decline reflects strong house price growth this time last year. This has shown a shift from the brief upturn in prices seen at the beginning of the year as the impact of higher interest rates feeds through into the market. This is largely impacting those with expiring fixed rate mortgage deals as they need to refinance at higher rates...Stocks featured:Croda International, Boohoo and IndiviorTo find out more about the investment management services offered by Walker Crips, please visit our website:https://www.walkercrips.co.uk/This podcast is intended to be Walker Crips Investment Management’s own commentary on markets. It is not investment research and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation to buy, sell or trade in any of the investments, sectors or asset classes mentioned. The value of any investment and the income arising from it is not guaranteed and can fall as well as rise, so that you may not get back the amount you originally invested. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Movements in exchange rates can have an adverse effect on the value, price or income of any non-sterling denominated investment. Nothing in this podcast constitutes advice to undertake a transaction, and if you require professional advice you should contact your financial adviser or your usual contact at Walker Crips. Walker Crips Investment Management Limited is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority and is a member of the London Stock Exchange. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Dechra Pharmaceuticals, a business involved in the development and marketing of veterinary products, saw its share price increase approximately 15% last week. This was after a cash offer made by Freya Bidco Limited for the entire issued, and to be issued, ordinary share capital of Dechra for 3,875p per share. This represented a 44% premium to the closing price of 2,690 pence on the 12th April, the last business day before the commencement of the Offer Period...Stocks featured:Dechra Pharmaceuticals, B&M and GreencoreTo find out more about the investment management services offered by Walker Crips, please visit our website:https://www.walkercrips.co.uk/This podcast is intended to be Walker Crips Investment Management’s own commentary on markets. It is not investment research and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation to buy, sell or trade in any of the investments, sectors or asset classes mentioned. The value of any investment and the income arising from it is not guaranteed and can fall as well as rise, so that you may not get back the amount you originally invested. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Movements in exchange rates can have an adverse effect on the value, price or income of any non-sterling denominated investment. Nothing in this podcast constitutes advice to undertake a transaction, and if you require professional advice you should contact your financial adviser or your usual contact at Walker Crips. Walker Crips Investment Management Limited is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority and is a member of the London Stock Exchange. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Nvidia, the American multinational technology company, announced first quarter results last week which beat expectations and sent the share price soaring approximately 24.6% last week. Nvidia issued guidance for substantial sequential revenue growth in the second quarter as demand for content-creating artificial intelligence bolsters its data centre platform. The company said that revenue has been largely flat at $11 billion, plus or minus 2%, for the July quarter. The consensus among analysts was for revenue of $7.13 billion before the outlook was given, and later raised to $11.09 billion. In the first quarter, revenue declined 13% year over year to $7.19 billion, but surpassed expectations for $6.52 billion. Generative artificial intelligence drove significant upside for Nvidia’s products, and has created significant opportunities for broad-based global growth which provides an exciting outlook for the company...Stocks featured:Nvidia, Marks and Spencer and Pets at HomeTo find out more about the investment management services offered by Walker Crips, please visit our website:https://www.walkercrips.co.uk/This podcast is intended to be Walker Crips Investment Management’s own commentary on markets. It is not investment research and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation to buy, sell or trade in any of the investments, sectors or asset classes mentioned. The value of any investment and the income arising from it is not guaranteed and can fall as well as rise, so that you may not get back the amount you originally invested. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Movements in exchange rates can have an adverse effect on the value, price or income of any non-sterling denominated investment. Nothing in this podcast constitutes advice to undertake a transaction, and if you require professional advice you should contact your financial adviser or your usual contact at Walker Crips. Walker Crips Investment Management Limited is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority and is a member of the London Stock Exchange. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Informa shares increased approximately 4% last week as it was announced the company had reached an agreement to acquire Winsight for $380 million and that its acquisition of Tarsus completed ahead of schedule. The acquisition of Winsight is expected to accelerate Informa’s growth by offering expansion within the business-to-business foodservice market. Informa’s acquisition is also expected to deliver strong financial returns with earnings accretion from the outset and a post-tax return ahead of Informa’s long-term weighted average cost of capital in the first full year of ownership. The deal has been fully funded by in-year cash flow growth and Informa’s balance sheet, with the expectation to further grow revenues, margins, earnings and cash flow..Stocks featured:Informa, YouGov and BT GroupTo find out more about the investment management services offered by Walker Crips, please visit our website:https://www.walkercrips.co.uk/This podcast is intended to be Walker Crips Investment Management’s own commentary on markets. It is not investment research and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation to buy, sell or trade in any of the investments, sectors or asset classes mentioned. The value of any investment and the income arising from it is not guaranteed and can fall as well as rise, so that you may not get back the amount you originally invested. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Movements in exchange rates can have an adverse effect on the value, price or income of any non-sterling denominated investment. Nothing in this podcast constitutes advice to undertake a transaction, and if you require professional advice you should contact your financial adviser or your usual contact at Walker Crips. Walker Crips Investment Management Limited is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority and is a member of the London Stock Exchange. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Beazley is a UK-based global specialist risk insurance and reinsurance company. Last week the company issued a trading statement announcing its net income at $104 million for the quarter ended 31 March 2023, marking a recovery from a loss of $92 million in the prior-year period. Management also remained confident in its growth guidance of mid teens gross premium written and mid 20s net premium written for 2023 full year. The positive trading statement resulted in Beazley’s share price rising approximately 3.87% for the week...Stocks featured:Beazley, Vertu Motors and ASOSTo find out more about the investment management services offered by Walker Crips, please visit our website:https://www.walkercrips.co.uk/This podcast is intended to be Walker Crips Investment Management’s own commentary on markets. It is not investment research and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation to buy, sell or trade in any of the investments, sectors or asset classes mentioned. The value of any investment and the income arising from it is not guaranteed and can fall as well as rise, so that you may not get back the amount you originally invested. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Movements in exchange rates can have an adverse effect on the value, price or income of any non-sterling denominated investment. Nothing in this podcast constitutes advice to undertake a transaction, and if you require professional advice you should contact your financial adviser or your usual contact at Walker Crips. Walker Crips Investment Management Limited is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority and is a member of the London Stock Exchange. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
HSBC reported strong first quarter results this week and announced record profits as the bank benefited from the new era of higher interest rates and the rapid reopening of China. HSBC reported profit before tax of $12.9 billion, up $9 billion compared to the first quarter of 2022, an increase of approximately 230%. HSBC also saw revenue increase by 64% to $20.2 billion which was largely driven by higher net interest income in all of HSBC’s global businesses due to interest rate rises. The strong results enabled HSBC to announce its first quarterly dividend since 2019 of $0.10 per share, as well as a share buy-back of up to $2 billion. Management announced that HSBC expects to be able to have substantial future distribution capacity for dividends and share buy-backs. Markets responded positively to this announcement, sending the share price up by approximately 4.53% last week...Stocks featured:HSBC, Shopify and PearsonTo find out more about the investment management services offered by Walker Crips, please visit our website:https://www.walkercrips.co.uk/This podcast is intended to be Walker Crips Investment Management’s own commentary on markets. It is not investment research and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation to buy, sell or trade in any of the investments, sectors or asset classes mentioned. The value of any investment and the income arising from it is not guaranteed and can fall as well as rise, so that you may not get back the amount you originally invested. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Movements in exchange rates can have an adverse effect on the value, price or income of any non-sterling denominated investment. Nothing in this podcast constitutes advice to undertake a transaction, and if you require professional advice you should contact your financial adviser or your usual contact at Walker Crips. Walker Crips Investment Management Limited is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority and is a member of the London Stock Exchange. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
